you are in: research working papers
CREI Working Papers
      
      

CREI Working Papers

 

2009

The Return of the Wage Phillips Curve
by Jordi Gali
June 2009

Standardized Enforcement: Access to Justice vs Legal Innovation
by Nicola Gennaioli and E. Perotti
April 2009

Do Institutional Changes Affect Business Cycles? Evidence from Europe
by Fabio Canova, M. Cicarrelli and E. Ortega
March 2009

What Comes to Mind
by Nicola Gennaioli and A. Shleifer
February 2009, revised June 2009

Comment to "Weak Instruments Robust Tests in GMM and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve" by F. Kleibergen and S. Mavroeidis
by Fabio Canova
Forthcoming in Journal of Business and Economic Statistics

2008

Trade, Markup Heterogeneity and Misallocations
by Gino Gancia and P. Epifani
December 2008

A Medium-scale Open Economy Model of Australia
by Kristoffer Nimark and Jarkko Jääskelä
December 2008 (Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper #2008-7)

Bridging Cyclical DSGE Models and the Raw Data
by Fabio Canova
November 2008

Multiple Filtering Devices for the Estimation of Cyclical DSGE Models
by Fabio Canova and F. Ferroni
November 2008, revised January 2009

Rain and the Democratic Window of Opportunity (with M. Brückner)
Data and Estimation Programs (zipped stata dta and do files)
by Antonio Ciccone
October 2008

Technological Change and the Wealth of Nations
by Gino Gancia and F. Zilibotti
October 2008

Transitory Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict
Supplementary Figures
Data and Estimation Programs (zipped stata dta and do files)
by Antonio Ciccone
August 2008, revised November 2008

The Three Horsemen of Growth: Plague, War and Urbanization in Early Modern Europe
by Joachim Voth and N. Voigtländer
August 2008

A Model of Collateral, Investment, and Adverse Selection
by Alberto Martin
August 2008, revised January 2009
Forthcoming in Journal of Economic Theory

Entry Regulation and Intersectoral Rellocation
Supplementary Appendix

by Antonio Ciccone and E. Papaioannou
June 2008

Determinants of Economic Growth: Will Data Tell?
by Antonio Ciccone and M. Jarocinski
Web Appendix
Data and Programs (zip file)
June 2008

Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?
by Jordi Gali
March 2008, revised May 2008

A Century of Global Equity Market Correlations
by Joachim Voth and D. Quinn
May 2008
Published in American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, 2008: 535-540

Combining Multivariate Density Forecasts using Predictive Criteria
by Kristoffer Nimark and H. Gerard
May 2008 (Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper # 2008-02), revised October 2008

Rethinking the Effects of Financial Liberalization
By Fernando Broner and Jaume Ventura
April 2008, revised October 2008

Adverse Selection, Credit, and Efficiency: the Case of the Missing Market
by Alberto Martin
April 2008

Macroeconomic Dynamics in the Euro Area
by Marc Giannoni, J. Boivin and B. Mojon
March 2008

The New Keynesian Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis: Lessons and New Directions
by Jordi Gali
February 2008, revised March 2009

Cyclical Skill-Biased Technological Change
by A. Balleer and Thijs van Rens
February 2008, last version September 2008

Rain and the Democratic Window of Opportunity
Data and Estimation Programs
(zipped stata dta and do files)
by Antonio Ciccone and M. Brückner
January 2008

Poor, Hungry and Stupid: Numeracy and the Impact of High Food Prices in Industrializing Britain, 1780-1850
by Joachim Voth, J. Baten and D. Crayen
January 2008

2007

A One-Sector Neoclassical Growth Model with Endogenous Retirement
by K. Matsuyama
December 2007

Measurement with Some Theory: Using Sign Restrictions to Evaluate Business Cycle Models
by Fabio Canova and M. Paustian
November 2007

Do Expectations Matter? The Great Moderation Revisited
by Fabio Canova, and L. Gambetti
November 2007, revised January 2009

Aggregate Fluctuations and the Network Structure of Intersectoral Trade
by Vasco Carvalho
November 2007, revised June 2008

Equilibrium Default
by H. Hopenhayn and J. Werning
October 2007

Dynamic Higher Order Expectations
by Kristoffer Nimark
October 2007

Fiscal Insurance and Debt Management in OECD Economies
by E. Faraglia, Albert Marcet and A. Scott
October 2007
Published in Economic Journal, 118 (527), 2008, 363-386

How Much Structure in Empirical Models?
by Fabio Canova
October 2007

Forthcoming in Mills, T. and K. Patterson (eds.), Palgrave Handbook of Applied Econometrics 2008

Growth, Democracy, and Civil War
by Antonio Ciccone and M. Brückner
Web Appendix
Data and Estimation Programs (zipped stata dta and do files)
October 2007, revised November 2007

Determinants of Economic Growth: Will Data Tell?
by Antonio Ciccone and M. Jarocinski
October 2007

The Modern Impact of Precolonial Centralization in Africa
by Nicola Gennaioli and I. Rainer
September 2007
Published in Journal of Economic Growth, Vol. 12 (3), pp 185-234

Constant Interest Rate Projections without the Curse of Indeterminacy
by Jordi Galí
August 2007, revised February 2008
Published in International Journal of Economic Theory, 2009 vol. 5, 61-68

Stock Market Volatility and Learning
by K. Adams, Albert Marcet and J. P. Nicolini
August 2007, revised January 2008

Enforcement Problems and Secondary Markets
by Fernando Broner, Alberto Martin and Jaume Ventura
August 2007, revised November 2007
Journal of the European Economic Association Papers and Proceedings, 6 (2-3), 2008, 683-694

Optimal Contracts with Enforcement Risk
by Nicola Gennaioli
July 2007, revised June 2008

The Sustainable Debts of Philip II: a Reconstruction of Spain's Fiscal Position, 1560-1598
by Joachim Voth and M. Drelichman
July 2007

Macroeconomic Modeling for Monetary Policy Evaluation
by Jordi Galí and M. Gertler
July 2007
Published in Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21 (4), 25-45

Procompetitive Losses from Trade
by P. Epifani and Gino A. Gancia
June 2007

Overruling and the Instability of Law
by Nicola Gennaioli and A. Shleifer
June 2007
Published in Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 35, pp 309-328

The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Price Shocks: Why are the 2000s so Different from the 1970s?
by Jordi Galí and O. Blanchard
Data
May 2007, revised October 2008

Wage Rigidity and Job Creation
by C. Haefke, M. Sonntag and Thijs van Rens
April 2007, last revised August 2008

The Impact of New Highways on Business Location: New Evidence from Spain
by
Teresa Garcia-Milà
and J. García-Montalvo
February 2007

The Evolution of Common Law
by Nicola Gennaioli and A. Shleifer
February 2007
Published in Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 115, pp 43-68

A Structural Model of Australia as a Small Open Economy
by Kristoffer Nimark
February 2007 (Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper # 2007-01)
Published in Australian Economic Review, 42 (1), pp. 21-41, 2009

Decomposing the Growth in Residential Land in the United States
by H. Overman, Diego Puga and M. Turner
January 2007

Comment on Fischer, Lenza, Pill and Reichlin's "Money and Monetary Policy: the ECB experience 1999-2006"
by Jordi Galí
January 2007

2006

Interest Rate Restrictions in a Natural Experiment: Loan Allocation and the Change in the Usury Laws in 1714
by Joachim Voth and P. Temin
December 2006, revised March 2007
Published in Economic Journal, 2008: 743-758.

Increasing, Returns, Imperfect Competition and factor Prices
by Gino Gancia and P. Epifani
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 88, 583-598, 2006
November 2006

Contractual Resolutions of Financial Distress
by Nicola Gennaioli and S. Rossi
November 2006, revised July 2009

A One-Sector Neoclassical Growth Model with Endogenous Retirement
by Kiminory Matsuyama
November 2006

Free Flows, Limited Diversitifcation: Explaining the Fall and Rise of Stock Market Correlations, 1890-2001
by Joachim Voth and D. Quinn
November 2006, revised October 2008

The Effects of Technology Shocks on Hours and Output: A Robustness Analysis
by Fabio Canova, D. López-Salido and C. Michelacci
November 2006, revised February 2008

Forthcoming in Journal of Applied Econometrics

Adjustment to Target Capital, Finance, and Growth
by Antonio Ciccone and E. Papaioannou
Supplementary Appendix
November 2006

Red Tape and Delayed Entry
by Antonio Ciccone and E. Papaioannou
Supplementary Appendix
November 2006

Urban Production Externalities
by Antonio Ciccone
Prepared for New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics
November 2006

Fat City: The Relationship between Urban Sprawl and Obesity
by J. Eid, H. Overman, Diego Puga, and M. Turner
October 2006

Judicial Fact Discretion
by Nicola Gennaioli and A. Shleifer
October 2006
Journal of Legal Studies, forthcoming 2008

On the Sources of the Great Moderation
by Jordi Galí and L. Gambetti
September 2006
Published in American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2009, vol. 1, nº1, 26-57

Comment on Dewachter and Lyrio's "Learning, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates"
by Jordi Galí
August 2006

The Skill Bias of World Trade
by P. Epifani and Gino A. Gancia
The Economic Journal, 118, 927-960, 2008

The Structural Dynamics of Output Growth and Inflation: Some International Evidence
by Fabio Canova, E. Pappa and L. Gambetti
April, 2006, revised August 2006
Published in The Economic Journal, 117(519), 2007, C167-C191

Comment on Davig and Leeper's "Fluctuating Macro Policies and the Fiscal Theory"
by Jordi Galí
July 2006

Sovereign Risk and Secondary Markets
by Fernando Broner, Alberto Martin and Jaume Ventura
July 2006, revised August 2008

Wake Up and Smell the Ginseng: The Rise of Incremental Innovation in Low-wage Countries (with D. Trefler)
by D. Trefler and Diego Puga
July 2006

Trade Liberalization, Exports and Technology Upgrading: Evidence on the Impact of MERCOSUR on Argentinean Firms
by Paula Bustos
June 2006, revised November 2008
Appendix

Optimal Monetary Policy with Real-time Signal Extraction from the Bond Market
by Kristoffer Nimark
June 2006 (ECB Working Paper # 474)
Published in Journal of Monetary Economics (with different title), vol. 55 (2), pp. 365-382, 2008

Schumpeterian Technology Shocks (Appendix)
by Fabio Canova, D. López-Salido and C. Michelacci
May 2006, revised November 2007

Competition and Trust
by
Ramon Marimon J. P. Nicolini and P. Teles
April 2006

Labor Markets and Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Model with Unemployment
by O. Blanchard and Jordi Galí
March 2006, revised May 2009

Prior for Growth Rates, Small Sample Bias and the Effects of Monetary Policy
by Albert Marcet and M. Jarocinski
March 2006

Heterogeneous Life-Cycle Profiles, Income Risk and Consumption Inequality
by G. Primiceri and Thijs van Rens
February 2006, last revised August 2008
Journal of Monetary Economics, 56 (1), pp. 20-39, 2009

Precolonial Centralization and Institutional Quality in Africa
by Nicola Gennaioli and I. Rainer
October 2005
Published in Mark Gradstein and Kai Konrad eds, Institutions and Norms in Economic Development, MIT Press, 2006

2005

Competition, Human Capital and Income Inequality with Limited Commitment
by Ramon Marimon and V. Quadrini
December 2005, revised August 2008

The Elusive Costs and the Immaterial Gains of Fiscal Constraints
by Fabio Canova and E. Pappa
December 2005
Published in Journal of Public Economics, 90 (8-9), 2006, 1391-1414

Betting on Hitler -The Value of Political Connections in Nazi Germany
by Joachim Voth and T. Ferguson
December 2005, revised 2006
Published in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2008: 101-137.

Openness, Government Size and the Terms of Trade
by P. Epifani and Gino Gancia
November 2005, revised January 2008
The Review of Economics Studies (forthcoming)

The Impact of Trade on Technology and Skill Upgrading: Evidence from Argentina
by Paula Bustos
November 2005, revised December 2007

Globalization and Risk Sharing
by Fernando Broner and Jaume Ventura
October 2005, revised April 2009

Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Currency Union
by Jordi Galí and T. Monacelli
October 2005
Published in Journal of International Economics, 2008, vol. 76, 116-132

New Evidence on Inflation Persistence and Price Stickiness in the Euro Area: Implications for Macro Modelling
by Jordi Galí and I. Angeloni, L. Aucremanne, M. Ehrmann, A. Levin, F. Smets
September 2005

Published in Journal of the European Economic Association (Papers and Proceedings) April-May 2006, vol. 4 (2-3), 562-574

Real Wage Rigidities and the New Keynesian Model
by O. Blanchard and Jordi Galí
April 2005
Published in Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 2007, supplement to vol. 39, nº1, 35-66

Equities and Inequality
by
Alessandra Bonfiglioli
September 2005

Financial Integration, Productivity and Capital Accumulation
by Alessandra Bonfiglioli
September 2005, revised July 2006

Identifying Human Capital Externalities: Theory with Applications
by Antonio Ciccone and G. Peri
August 2005 (final version)
Published in The Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 73, No. 2, 381-412, April 2006

The Overhang Hangover
by J. Imbs and Romain Rancière
June 2005

The Dot-Com Bubble, the Bush Deficits, and the US Current Account
By A. Kraay and Jaume Ventura
June 2005, revised December 2005
Published in G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, R. Clarida (eds.), 2007, The University of Chicago Press

Why England? Demographic factors, structural change and physical capital accumulation during the Industrial Revolution
by Joachim Voth anc N. Voigtländer
June 2005, revised October 2006
Published in Journal of Economic Growth, 2006: 319-361.

On the Role of Retaliation in Trade Agreem ents
by Alberto Martin and W. Vergote
June 2005, revised April 2008
Published in Journal of International Economics, 76 (1), 2008, 61-77

Back to Square One: Identification Issues in DSGE Models
by Fabio Canova and L. Sala
May 2005, revised September 2006
Published in Journal of Monetary Economics, 56(4), 2009, 431-449

Productivity Growth and the Exchange Rate Regime: The Role of Financial Development
by Romain Rancière, P. Bacchetta and K. Rogoff
May 2005

Calvo Pricing and Imperfect Common Knowledge. A Forward-looking Model of Rational Inflation Inertia / Technical Appendix
by Kristoffer Nimark
April 2005 (ECB Working Paper Series # 474), revised November 2007
Published (with different title) in Journal of Monetary Economics, 55 (2), pp. 365-382, 2008

A Note on Common Cycles, Common Trends and Convergence
by Vasco Carvalho, A.C. Harvey and T. Trimbur
April 2005, revised February 2006
Published in Journal of Business Economics and Statistics, 2007, vol. 25 (1), pp. 12-20

Human Capital, the Structure of Production, and Growth
Supplementary Appendix
by Antonio Ciccone and E. Papaioannou
April 2005, revised August 2007
The Review of Economics and Stastistics (forthcoming)

Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: Lessons from 5 Years of ECB and Implications for Turkey
by Fabio Canova and C. Favero
March 2005
Published in Bacsi, E., Togan, S. and Von Hagen, J. (eds.), 2005, Macroeconomic Policies for EU Accession

A Global View of Economic Growth
by Jaume Ventura
March 2005
Published in Handbook of Economic Growth, vol. 1B, Philippe Aghion and Steven N. Durlauf (eds.), 2005, Elsevier B. V.

Has the Inflation Process Changed? A Comment
by Jordi Galí
March 2005

2004

Endogenous Credit Cycles
by Alberto Martin
November 2004, revised August 2008

Systemic Crises and Growth
by Romain Rancière, A. Tornell and F. Westermann
November 2004

Organizational Capital and Employment Fluctuations
by Thijs van Rens
November 2004

Why are Capital Flows so much more Volatile in Emerging than in Developed Countries?
by Fernando Broner and R. Rigobon
October 2004
In External Financial Vulnerability and Preventive Policies, R. Caballero, C. Calderón, and L. Céspedes (eds.), 2006.

Trends in Hours, Balanced Growth, and the Role of Technology in the Business Cycle
by Jordi Galí
October 2004,
Published in Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, July/August 2005, 87(4), pp. 459-86.

Financial Liberalization, Bank Crises and Growth: Assessing the Links
by Alessandra Bonfiglioli and C. Mendicino
October 2004

Credit Constraints, Competition and Meritocracy
by Nicola Gennaioli and F. Caselli
September 2004
Published in The Journal of the European Economic Association, Vol. 3, pp 679-689, April-May, 2005

Modern Perspectives on Fiscal Stabilization Policies
by Jordi Galí
Published in CESifo Economic Studies, Vol. 51, 4/2005, 587-599

Why do Differences in the Degree of Fiscal Decentralization Endure?
by Teresa Garcia-Milà, X. Calsamiglia and T. J. McGuire
August 2004

Economics and Politics of Alternative Institutional Reforms
by Nicola Gennaioli and F. Caselli
August 2004, revised January 2008
Quarterly Journal of Economics, forthcoming 2008

Nominal Debt as a Burden on Monetary Policy
by Ramon Marimon, J. Díaz-Giménez, G. Giovannetti and P. Teles
July 2004, revised March 2006

Long-run Substitutability Between More and Less Educated Workers: Evidence from US States 1950-1990
by Antonio Ciccone and G. Peri
June 2004, revised December 2004
Published in The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 87 (4), November 2005, 652-663

Financial Repression in a Natural Experiment: Loan Allocation and the Charge in the Usury Laws in 1714
by Joachim Voth and P. Temin
June 2004

Should Higher Education Subsidies Depend on Parental Income?
by R. Dur, C. Teulings and Thijs van Rens
Summer 2004
Published in Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Vol. 20 (2), pp. 284-297, 2004

Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations: How Well Does the RBC Model Fit Postwar U.S. Data?
by Jordi Galí and P. Rabanal
May 2004,
Published in NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2004

Strategic Delegation in Monetary Unions
by Ramon Marimon, V. V. Chari and L. E. Jones
April 2004
Published in The Manchester School, 2004, 72(s1), 19-33

What Explains the Great Moderation in the US? A Structural Analysis
by Fabio Canova
March 2004, revised December 2007
Published in Journal of the European Economic Association, 7(4), 2009, 1-25

Does it Cost to be Virtuous? The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Constraints
by Fabio Canova and E. Pappa
March 2004, revised December 2004
Published in Clarida, R., Frankel, J. Giavazzi, F. and K. West (eds.) NBER International Seminar in Macroeconomics, 11065, 2005

The Speed of the Financial Revolution: Evidence from Hoare's Bank
by Joachim Voth and P. Temin
March 2004

Stable Sunspot Equilibria in a Cash-in-Advance Economy
by Ramon Marimon, G. Evans and S. Honkapohja
February 2004, revised July 2005

Credit Rationing and Crowding Out during the Industrial Revolution: Evidence from Hoare's Bank, 1702-1862
by Joachim Voth and P. Temin
February 2004, revised June 2004
Published in Explorations in Economic History, 2005: 325-348.

Money and Prices in Models of Bounded Rationality in High-Inflation Economies
by Albert Marcet and J. P. Nicolini
February 2004
Published in Review of Economic Dynamics, 8(2), 2005, 452-479

Wealth, Financial Intermediation and Growth
by Romain Rancière and A. Gaytan
January 2004, revised April 2004

On Payoff Heterogeneity in Games with Strategic Complementarities
by Antonio Ciccone and James Costain
Oxford Economic Papers, Vol. 56 (2004), 701-713.

2003

Riding the South Sea Bubble
by Joachim Voth and P. Temin
December 2003, revised January 2004
Published in American Economic Review, 2004: 1654-1668

Indicator Accuracy, Welfare and Monetary Policy
by Kristoffer Nimark
December 2003, revised October 2005

Contracting in the Shadow of the Law
by Nicola Gennaioli
November 2003, revised January 2006

When in Peril, Retrench: Testing the Portfolio Channel of Contagion
by Fernando Broner, G. Gelos and C. Reinhart
October 2003, revised May 2005
Published in Journal of International Economics, 69 (1), 2006, 203-230

Why do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term?
by Fernando Broner, G. Lorenzoni and S. Schmukler
March 2003, revised October 2008

Price Differentials in Monetary Unions: The Role of Fiscal Policy Appendix
by Fabio Canova and E. Pappa
2003, revised June 2005
Published in The Economic Journal, 117(520), 2007, 713-737

Trade, Extent of the Market, and Economic Growth 1960-1996
by Antonio Ciccone and F. Alcalá
December 2003

Discrete Devaluations and Multiple Equilibria in a First Generation Model of Currency Crises
version with appendices
by Fernando Broner
November 2003, revised January 2007
Published in Journal of Monetary Economics, 55 (3), 2008, 592-605

On the Role of Technology Schocks as a Source of Business Cycles: Some New Evidence
by Jordi Galí
November 2003
Published in Journal of the European Economic Association, vol. 2, issue 2-3 (Papers and Proceedings), 372-380, 2004

Economic Growth with Bubbles (figures)
by Jaume Ventura
November 2003

Resistance to Reform: Status Quo Bias in the Presence of Individual-Specific Uncertainty: Comment
by Antonio Ciccone
October 2003 (final version)
Published in The American Economic Review, vol. 94, num. 3, 785-795 June 2004

Horizontal Innovation in the Theory of Growth and Development
by Gino Gancia and F. Zilibotti
July 2003
Published in the Handbook of Economic Growth (Edited by P. Aghion and S. Durlauf)
, 2005

Fiscal Federalism and Regional Integration: Lessons from Spain
by Teresa Garcia-Milà
Published in Federalismo e Integraçao Economica Regional. Desafios para o Mercosul. The Forum of Federations, 2004

Solidarity and Fiscal Decentralization
by Teresa Garcia-Milà and T. McGuire
July 2003, revised October 2003, this version January 2004
Published in
Proceedings - 96th Annual Conference on Taxation, Chicago, Illinois, November 13-15, 2003. Washington DC: National Tax Association, 2004

North-South Trade and Directed Technical Change
by Gino Gancia and A. Bonfiglioli
May 2003, revised April 2008
Journal of International Economics (forthcoming)

Structural Changes in the US Economy: Is there a Role for Monetary Policy?
by Fabio Canova and L. Gambetti
May 2003, revised April 2008
Published in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 33(2), 2009, 477-490

Rule-of-Thumb Consumers and the Design of Interest Rate Rules
by Jordi Galí, J. David López-Salido and J. Vallés
May 2003,
Published in The Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, vol. 36, no. 4, 2004, 739-764

Fiscal Policy and Monetary Integration in Europe
by Jordi Galí and R. Perotti
March 2003
Published in Economic Policy, vol. 37, 2003, 533-572

Convergence in the Trends and Cycles of Euro-Zone Income
by Vasco Carvalho and A.C. Harvey
March 2003, revised November 2004 (CEPR/EABCN Discussion Paper Series # 4726)
Published in Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2005, Vol. 20 (2), pp. 275-289

Similarities and Convergence of G-7 Cycles
by Fabio Canova, M. Ciccarelli and E. Ortega
February 2003, revised August 2004
Published in Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(3), 2007, 850-878

Robustness of the Estimates of the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve
by Jordi Galí, M. Gertler and J. D. López-Salido
January 2003,
Published in Journal of Monetary Economics, 2005, vol. 52, 1107-118.

On Rothschild-Stiglitz as Competitive Pooling
by Alberto Martin
August 2003, revised January 2006
Published in Economic Theory, 31(2), 2007, 371-386

 

2002

Financial Development, Financial Fragility, and Growth
by Romain Rancière and N. Loayza
December 2002, revised September 2004
Forthcoming in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking

Incomplete Markets, Labor Supply, and Capital Accumulation
by Albert Marcet, F. Obiols-Homs, and P. Weil
October 2002, revised October 2006
Published in Journal of Monetary Economics, 54, 2007, 2621-2635

Bubbles and Capital Flows
by Jaume Ventura
October 2002, revised January 2004

Understanding the Effects of Government Spending on Consumption
by Jordi Galí, J. D. López-Salido and J. Vallés
Published in the Journal of the European Economic Association, March 2007, vol. 5 (1), 227-270

European Inflation Dynamics: A Correction
by Jordi Galí, M. Gertler and J. D. López-Salido
September 2002

Inequality over the Business Cycle: Estimating Income Risk using Micro-Data on Consumption
by G. Primiceri and Thijs van Rens
July 2002, last revised October 2004

Estimating Multi-country VAR Models (with M. Ciccarelli)
by Fabio Canova and M. Ciccarelli
June 2002, revised April 2008
Published in International Economic Review, 50(3), 2009, 929-961

House prices, Consumption, and Monetary Policy: A Financial Accelerator Approach
by Kosuke Aoki, J. Proudman and G. Vlieghe
June 2002

Growth, Cycles and Convergence in US Regional Time Series
by Vasco Carvalho and A.C. Harvey
June 2002, revised August 2002 (Cambridge Working Papers in Economics #0221)
Published in International Journal of Forecasting, 2005, Vol. 21 (4), pp. 667-686

Fiscal Decentralization Policies and Sub-national Government Debt in Evolving Federations
by Teresa Garcia-Milà, T. Goodspeed and T. McGuire
May 2002

Crises and Growth: A Re-evaluation
by Romain Rancière, A. Tornell and F. Westermann
May 2002, revised September 2003

Dynastic Management
by Nicola Gennaioli with F. Caselli
April 2002, revised December 2005

Credit Derivatives in Emerging Markets
by Romain Rancière
April 2002

Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in Small Open Economy
by Jordi Galí and T. Monacelli
March 2002, revised July 2004
Published in Review of Economic Studies (2005) 72, 707-734. "This is an electronic version of an article published in the Review of Economic Studies : complete citation information for the final version of the paper, as published in the print edition of the Review of Economic Studies, is available on the Blackwell Synergy online delivery service, accessible via the journal’s website at http://www.blackwell-synergy.com."

Models for Converging Economies
by Vasco Carvalho and A.C. Harvey
March 2002 (Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, # 0216)

Fiscal Decentralization in Spain: An Asymmetric Transition to Democracy
by Teresa Garcia-Milà
March 2002, forthcoming in Subsidiarity and Solidarity: The Role of Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations in Maintaining an Effective State in Diverse Countries, Richard Bird and Robert Ebel editors, Edward Elgar

Trade, Migration and Regional Unemployment
by Gino Gancia and P. Epifani
March 2002, revised November 2003
Published in Regional Science and Urban Economics, 35, 2005, 625-644

 

2001

Trade and Productivity
by Antonio Ciccone and F. Alcalá
December 2001, November 2003 (final version),
Published in The Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2004

Banks, Liquidity Crises and Economic Growth
by Romain Rancière and A. Gaytan
August 2001, revised May 2003

The Transmission of US Shocks to Latin America
May 2001, revised April 2004
By Fabio Canova
Published in Journal of Applied Econometrics, 20(2), 2005, 229-251

The HP-Filter in Cross Country Comparisons
by Albert Marcet and M. Ravn
May 2001, revised December 2003

Debt and Deficit Fluctuations and the Structure of Bond Markets
by Albert Marcet and A. Scott
May 2001, revised June 2003

Markups, Gaps, and the Welfare Costs of Economic Fluctuations
by Jordi Galí, Mark Gertler and J. David López-Salido
Published in The Review of Economic and Statistics, February 2007, 89 (1), 44-59

Determining Underlying Macroeconomic Fundamentals During Emerging Market Crises: Are Conditions as Bad as They Seem?
by Fernando Broner and M. Aguiar
2001, revised August 2004
Published in Journal of Monetary Economics, 53 (4), 2006, 699-724

New Perspectives on Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle
by Jordi Galí
2001
Published version in:
Advances in Economic Theory, edited by: M. Dewatripont, L. Hansen, and S. Turnovsky, vol. III, 151-197, Cambridge University Press 2003

European Inflation Dynamics
by Jordi Galí, M. Gertler and J. D. López-Salido
Published in European Economic Review, vol. 45, nº 7, 1237-1270, 2001. (Erratum, September 2002)

With a Bang, Not a Whimper: Pricking Germany's 'Stock Market Bubble' in 1927 and the Slide into Depression
by Joachim Voth
February 2001, revised April 2002
Published in Journal of Economic History, 2003: 65-99

Comparative Advantage and the Cross-section of Business Cycles
by A. Kraay and Jaume Ventura
January 2001
Published in Journal of the European Economic Association, 5(6), 1300-1333, 2007

Education, Growth and Income Inequality
by C. Teulings and Thijs van Rens
January 2001, last version July 2006
Published in Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 90 (1), pp. 89-104, 2008

2000

Factor Prices and Productivity Growth During the British Industrial Revolution
by Joachim Voth and P. Antràs
November 2000, revised December 2000
Published in Explorations in Economic History, 2003: 52-77

Input Chains and Industrialization
By Antonio Ciccone
November 2000
Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 69, No. 3 (July 2002), 565-587.

Country Portfolios
by A. Kraay, N. Loayza, L. Servén and Jaume Ventura
July 2000, revised October 2004
Published in Journal of the European Economic Association, 2005

Agglomeration Effects in Europe
By
Antonio Ciccone
August 2000
Published in European Economic Review, Vol. 46 (2002) 213-227.

Optimal Commitment Policy under Noisy Information
by Kosuke Aoki
March 2000, revised April 2002

The Macroeconomic Effects of German Unification: Real Adjustments and the Welfare State
by Fabio Canova and M. Ravn
March 2000
Published in Review of Economic Dynamics, 3(3), 2000, 423-460

 

1999

On the Timing of Balance of Payment Crises: Disaggregated Information and Interest Rate Policy
by Fernando Broner
December 1999, revised February 2002

On the Sources of Business Cycles in the G-7
by Fabio Canova and G. de Nicoló
October 1999, revised March 2000
Published in Journal of International Economics, 59(1), 2003, 77-100

Forecasting and Turning Point Predictions in a Bayesian Panel VAR Model
by Fabio Canova and M. Ciccarelli
October 1999
Published in Journal of Econometrics, 120(2), 2004, 327-359

Aggregate Consequences of Limited Contract Enforceability
by Ramon Marimon, T. Cooley and V. Quadrini
June 1999, revised October 2003
Published in Journal of Political Economy, 112(4), 2004, 817-847

Efficiency and Equilibrium with Dynamic Increasing Aggregate Returns due to Demand Complementarities
By Antonio Ciccone and Kiminori Matsuyama
May 1999
Published in Econometrica, Vol. 67, No. 3 (May, 1999), 499-525.

 

1998

Monetary Policy Misspecification in VAR Models
by Fabio Canova and J. P. Pina
October 1998, revised September 1999

 

1997

Testing for Convergence Clubs in Income Per-capita: A Predictive Density Approach
by Fabio Canova
July 1997, revised September 1999
Published in International Economic Review, 45(1), 2004, 49-77

Crossing the Rio Grande: Migrations, Business Cycles and the Welfare Sate
by M. Ravn and Fabio Canova
July 1997, revised December 1997

Unemployment vs. Mismatch of Talents: Reconsidering Unemployment Benefits
by Ramon Marimon and F. Zilibotti
May 1997

Stock Returns, Term Structure, Inflation and Real Activity: An International Perspective
by Fabio Canova and G. de Nicoló
January 1997
Published in Macroeconomic Dynamics, 4(3), 2000, 343-372

International Business Cycles, Financial Markets and Household Production
by Fabio Canova and Á. Ubide
January 1997
Published in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 22(4), 1998, 545-572

 

1996

Did Colonization Matter for Growth? An Empirical Exploration into the Historical Causes of Africa's Underdevelopment
by G. Bertocchi and Fabio Canova
December 1996
Published in European Economic Review, 46(10), 2002, 1851-1871

Sources and Propagation of International Cycles: Common Shocks or Transmission?
by Fabio Canova and J. Marrinan
November 1996
Published in Journal of International Economics, 46(1), 1998, 133-166 with the title Macroeconomic Dynamics Sources and Propagation of Output Cycles: Common Shocks or Transmission

Testing Calibrated General Equilibrium Models
by Fabio Canova and E. Ortega
March 1996
Published in Mariano, R., Schuerman, T. and M. Weeks, Inference Using Simulation Techniques, Cambridge University Press, 1999

Start-up Costs and Pecuniary Externalities as Barriers to Economic Development
By Antonio Ciccone and Kiminori Matsuyama
March 1996
Published in Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 49 (1996), 33-59.

Productivity and the Density of Economic Activity
By Antonio Ciccone and Robert Hall
Published in The American Economic Review, Vol. 86, No. 1 (March 1996), 54-70.

 

1995

Recurrent Hyperinflations and Learning
by Albert Marcet and P. Nicolini
November 1995
Published in The American Economic Review, 93(5), 2003, 1476-1498

The Poor Stay Poor: Non-Convergence accross Countries and Regions
by Fabio Canova and Albert Marcet
October 1995, revised June 1999

Supply Side Interventions and Redistribution
by Teresa Garcia-Milà, Albert Marcet and E. Ventura
July 1995, revised February 2001

 

1994

Recursive Contracts
by Albert Marcet and Ramon Marimon
September 1994, revised October 1998

Solving Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models by Parameterized Expectations: Convergence to Stationary Solutions
by Albert Marcet and A. Marshall
March 1994

 

1991

Long Run Effects of Business Cycles
by Jordi Galí and M. L. Hammour
April 1991, revised June 1993

 

 top